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Traffic Impact Study

Summary of Results

Traffic Flows

3.1 Figure 3.1 below and Figure 3.2 overleaf summarise the 'Before' and 'After' traffic data using weekday, 24 hour two-way traffic volumes. A summary results table is included in Appendix A of this report. The 'Before' counts have been adjusted to reflect third quarter 2004 traffic levels to ensure the conclusions drawn take into account seasonality and normal traffic growth. This has been done by using the seasonally adjusted traffic growth index to determine normal background growth between the count data and an index to adjust the average daily traffic flow based upon monthly seasonal variations in traffic flow. Where 12 hour MCC counts were utilised on the old A10 these were factored up to 24 hour flows by using the ratio of 12 hour to 24 hour flows derived from 24 hour ATC counts obtained for the A10.

Figure 3.1 - Weekday Traffic Flows 'Before' & 'After' Scheme Opening for the Local and Wider Area (JPG 233KB)

3.2 Traffic flows on the A10 through Wadesmill, High Cross and Colliers End before the bypass was between 24,000 to 27,500 vehicles per day (vpd). After opening, the traffic flows through these three villages dropped to between 4,000 to 5,000 vpd, with the bypass carrying around 23,000 vpd.

3.3 The site west of Sawbridgeworth shows no real change in traffic volumes (-100 vpd), and the site west of Harlow shows traffic volumes have increased by 3,000 vpd. These two sites together suggest that vehicles travelling between Hertford and Bishop's Stortford / Stansted have not re-routed via these two roads, and the extra 3,000 vpd on the A414 is assumed to be due to traffic growth in the area.

Figure 3.2 - Weekday Traffic Flows 'Before' & 'After' Scheme Opening for the Local Area (JPG 222KB)

3.4 There are also decreases on the local feeder roads to the A10 in those villages, with the B158 (Anchor Lane) reducing from 5,300 vpd to 3,400 vpd, and flows on Cold Christmas Lane more than halving from 1,050 vpd to 400 vpd. The reduction on Anchor Lane is assumed to be due to traffic re-routing onto Westmill Road (A602) to join onto the bypass.

3.5 The traffic flows also indicate a 14% increase in traffic (from 15,300 vpd to 17,500 vpd) on the A120 approaching the A10/A120 roundabout. Evidence from traffic counts strongly suggest that this increase of 2,200 vpd since the opening of the bypass is due to long distance strategic re-routing, as the bypass is now more appealing compared to the old A10.

Table 3.1 - Traffic Volumes across the A10 corridor

AWT

Site

Before

After

Change

% Change

Old A10 South of Stanton Roundabout

25,400

4,700

-20,700

-81.5%

A10 Bypass

-

22,800

22,800

N/A

Total

25,400

27,500

2,100

8.3%

A10 between A602 & A1170 junctions

21,300

25,000

3,700

17.4%

A1170 between Ware A10

6,700

8,000

1,300

19.4%

Total

28,000

33,000

5,000

17.9%

3.6 From Figure 3.2 and Table 3.1 it can be clearly seen that:

  • There is an approximate 8% increase in traffic along the corridor between Ware and the A10/A120 roundabout after the opening of the bypass; and

There is some indication that flows south of the bypass on the corridor comprising of the A10 and A1170 approaching Moles Interchange have increased by 18%.

3.7 This higher increase compared to the increase in flows on the bypass and bypassed villages is likely to be due to the creation of an interchange between the A10 Southbound carriageway and A1170 at Moles Interchange, resulting in some re-routing of traffic travelling Southbound towards the A602 on the A10 from the A1170.

3.8 Count data from six of the outer lying sites are shown in Table 3.2 below. It should be noted that traffic at some of these sites is likely to be influenced by factors other than the bypass.

Table 3.2 - Outer lying Count Site Data

Site

AADT

Number

Description

Before

After

Change

% Change 

1420/1

A10 Ware

46,700

50,200

3,500

7.5%

1450/1

A10 Hay Street

17,000

18,300

1,300

7.6%

342

Dassels Hill, Hay Street

3,200

3,000

-200

-6.3%

228

A414 Eastwick Road, west of Harlow

31,100

34,100

3,000

9.6% 

724

A1184 Cambridge Road, Sawbridgeworth

22,400

22,300

-100

-0.4%

260

A602 Bragbury End 

21,000

21,300

300 

1.4%

3.9 Counts on the A10 at Hay Street and on the A10 South of Ware show an 8% increase in traffic which is similar to the growth observed along the corridor between Ware and the A10/A120 roundabout. As these count sites are more likely to be influenced by other factors than the bypass, it is possible that traffic growth has increased along the A10 in this area for other reasons and therefore the observed traffic growth along the bypassed corridor may not be wholly attributable to the opening of the bypass.

3.10 The counts indicate that traffic on the A1184 which runs parallel to the A10 remained steady, whereas A414 Eastwick Road which links Harlow and Ware has seen a 10% increase in traffic. The count at Dassels Hill shows a decrease in traffic, indicating that the bypass has not encouraged any re-routing of traffic through the villages of Hay Street and Green End to access the A10.

Vehicle Classification

3.11 Based upon the classified data it is possible to determine whether in addition to any changes in traffic flows in the study area, the proportion of HGV's has changed, i.e. whether the number of HGV's have decreased by a greater proportion than the total traffic. For the classified data obtained from the Manual Turning Counts, HGV's have been classed OGV1 and OGV2 combined.

3.12 Table 3.3 shows the percentage of traffic which is HGV. The sites on the A10 and A120 suggest small decreases of approximately 0.5% in HGV's through the corridor between Ware and the A10/A120 roundabout, but the percentage of HGV's through Wadesmill, High Cross and Colliers End has been reduced from between 8%-10% to 4%-5%, indicating that the bypass has clearly been successful in re-routing HGV's out of these villages.

Table 3.3 - Proportion of HGV's through the A10 Corridor

Site

Before

After

Change

Old A10 through Wadesmill, High Cross and Colliers End

Old A10 South of Standon Roundabout

7.8%

4.1%

-3.7%

Old A10/Anchor Lane Junction North

8.7%

3.7%

-5.0%

Old A10/Anchor LaneJunction

9.5%

4.4%

-5.1%

A10/A120

A10 Bypass

N/A

7.4%

N/A

A10 North of A10/A120 Roundabout

8.5%

7.8%

-0.7%

A10 Hay Street

8.7%

8.2%

-0.5%

A120 East of A10/A120

7.2%

7.2%

0%

Journey Times

3.13 In order to look at changes in journey times, data collected in June 2002, as part of the 'Before' surveys, has been compared to data collected in 2nd November 2004. The 'After' study also included a route carried out using the new bypass.

3.14 A table of results splitting journey time surveys by the 8 designated timing points on the A10 through Wadesmill, High Cross and Colliers End is included in Appendix B.

3.15 Table 3.4 below compares the new A10 route travel times (between the Standon Hill roundabout to the A1170/A10 intersection North of Ware) with the equivalent journey on the old A10 route timed before the A10 bypass was open.

Table 3.4 - Comparative 'Before' and 'After' Journey Times

 

 

Route Used

Route Used

 

Direction

Period

Old A10 'Before' 

A10 Bypasss 'After'

Time saved using bypass

Southbound

AM
INTER
PM 

06:44
06:30
11:10

04:47
04:48
04:51

01:57
01:42
06:19

Northbound

AM
INTER
PM

06:44
06:19
06:36

04:53
04:52
04:52

01:51
01:27
01:44

3.16 The table above highlights a best journey time saving of 6 minutes in the PM peak Southbound, with savings of between 1.5 and 2 minutes for Northbound flows and for AM peak and inter-peak Southbound flows.

3.17 Table 3.5 below compares the journey times on the original A10 route via Wadesmill, High Cross and Colliers End, 'before' and 'after' the bypass was opened.

Table 3.5 - Comparative 'Before' and 'After' Journey Times on the old A10

Route Used

Route Used

Direction

Period

Old A10 'Before'

Old A10 'After'

Time saved after opening of bypass 

Southbound

AM
INTER
PM

06:44
06:30
11:10

07:49
07:35
08:27

-01:05
-01:05
02:43

Northbound

AM
INTER
PM

06:44
06:19
06:36

07:55
07:26
08:53

-01:11
-01:07
-02:17

3.18 With the exception of PM Peak Southbound flows, journey times have increased along the old A10. These journey time increases will be as a result of speed limit reductions on the old A10. The speed limit through the village centres have been reduced to 30 mph, and the remaining lengths are 40 mph, with the exception of the stretch between High Cross and Colliers End, which is 50 mph.

Journey Speeds

3.19 Table 3.6 compares speeds 'Before' on the A10 through Wadesmill, High Cross and Colliers End and 'After' on the A10 Bypass.

Table 3.6 - Comparative 'Before' and 'After' Journey Speeds

 

Speed on Route Used (KPH)

Speed on Route Used (KPH)

Direction

Period

Old A10 'Before'

A10 Bypass 'After'

Speed Difference

Southbound

AM
INTER
PM

64
66
48

93
93
92

29
27
44

Northbound

AM
INTER
PM

64
68
66

89
89
89

25
21
23

3.20 The journey time surveys show that for vehicles using the A10 bypass, journey speeds have increased between 21 kph and 44 kph, compared with using the old A10 before the construction of the bypass.